Russia's Central Bank gold and forex reserves for the week ending August 22

Recently, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting has sparked heated discussions in the market, hinting at a possible 25 basis point rate cut in September. This news immediately triggered optimism on Wall Street, with both the stock and bond markets rising. However, we need to view this expectation with caution, as the Federal Reserve's decisions are primarily based on economic data rather than market sentiment. The most closely watched economic indicator next week will be the July core PCE data released on Friday. If inflation cools less than expected, even if Powell maintains a dovish stance, the Federal Reserve may act cautiously and not easily take measures to cut interest rates. In addition, speeches from several Fed officials, GDP revisions, and consumer confidence index data will also affect market direction. It is worth noting that over-leveraging interest rate cuts may carry risks. Last year, the market experienced a similar situation with strong expectations for rate cuts, but subsequently, inflation rebounded, and the Federal Reserve adopted a hawkish stance, leading to a significant decline in asset prices such as Bitcoin. Currently, market sentiment is high, but if economic data falls short of expectations, it may trigger a significant pullback. For the cryptocurrency market, price increases driven by liquidity expectations often lack a solid foundation. If the expectation of interest rate cuts fails, investors may quickly withdraw from risk assets, including Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. In the short term, the market is betting on a rate cut in September, but in the long term, the persistence of inflation is the real challenge. Overall, the market will face two possibilities next week: either sustained optimism brought about by the fulfillment of expectations, or sharp fluctuations caused by poor data. Investors should closely monitor the upcoming economic data, especially the PCE index, to reasonably assess market risks and opportunities. Regardless of how the market moves, maintaining a rational and cautious investment attitude is a wise choice.

Recently, the crypto assets community was shocked by a survey report from Bubblemaps. A name mentioned in the report—@naseem—has become the focus of heated discussions. This trader is known for achieving 100 times the returns on the $TRUMP token and has now been discovered to be the first buyer of the $YZY token. According to on-chain data analysis from Bubblemaps, the first transaction of $YZY on August 21 was worth $250,000 and came from a wallet address associated with naseem. Notably, this address has cashed out $800,000 but still holds Tokens worth $600,000. This precise operation has sparked widespread discussion in the community. Some believe it reflects the intuition and execution skills of trading experts, while others question the possibility of insider trading. If the same person can always enter a project accurately in its early stages, does it imply that there are issues with the fairness of the project? Regardless of their viewpoints, community members unanimously agree that discovering such trading patterns would be nearly impossible without tools like Bubblemaps. This highlights the importance of Bubblemaps, which is not just an analytical tool but more like a "magnifying glass," allowing the entire community to participate in market oversight. The existence of Bubblemaps has made information that was once掌握ed by only a few people transparent, giving every participant the opportunity to understand the true state of the market. This increase in transparency will undoubtedly promote the healthy development of the Crypto Assets market. As the Crypto Assets market continues to mature, similar events may become more frequent. However, with tools like Bubblemaps, we can better understand market trends and discern the truth. It not only makes seemingly magical trades explainable but also empowers the community with a greater voice. The emergence of Bubblemaps marks the practical application of decentralized oversight mechanisms in the crypto world, providing strong support for establishing a fairer and more transparent market environment.

The current Bitcoin price is undergoing a normal pullback phase. Although there has been a significant fall recently, the overall bull run structure has not been substantially damaged. The market still maintains a long positions pattern, and the key is to patiently wait for the price to stabilize before entering at the right time. From a technical perspective, around $114,200 may be a good buying opportunity. If a long position can be established near this price level, there is potential for considerable gains during subsequent rebounds. In the short term, we can consider $116,000 as a potential target price. It is worth noting that although the market is experiencing increased short-term volatility, long-term investors need not worry excessively. Such pullbacks often provide a good opportunity for positive positioning. However, before making any trading decisions, investors should thoroughly assess their own risk tolerance and closely monitor market trends. Overall, although the current market is under certain pressure, the fundamentals of Bitcoin have not undergone fundamental changes. Maintaining rationality and patience may help seize potential investment opportunities during this adjustment.

Recently, the Crypto Assets market has shown a positive rise trend. Since last Friday, the price movement of Bitcoin and Ethereum has been remarkable. Despite external factors, these two mainstream Crypto Assets have still followed the expected technical patterns. During the weekend, the market experienced a brief period of consolidation, but this did not shake the overall rise trend. Analysis shows that the market still has the potential to continue climbing, and investors may consider keeping an eye on the development of this trend. For Bitcoin, the current key price range is between $114,200 and $114,500. If it can stabilize in this range, it is expected to move towards the target of $116,000. At the same time, the support area for Ethereum is between $4,740 and $4,765. After breaking through this range, it may test the resistance level of $4,860. It is worth noting that despite the strong performance of the market in the short term, investors still need to remain vigilant and closely monitor market dynamics and potential risk factors. The high volatility of the Crypto Assets market requires participants to always maintain a rational and cautious attitude. With the continuous development of the digital assets sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum, as the industry leaders, their price movement is often seen as a barometer of the overall health of the Crypto Assets market. The current rise trend not only reflects an increase in investor confidence but may also indicate a growing level of market participation. However, we should also recognize that the development of the Crypto Assets market is still in a relatively early stage, and factors such as regulatory environment and technological innovation may have a significant impact on the market. Therefore, while seizing market opportunities, it is equally important to establish a long-term investment strategy and risk management system.

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