AI Weekly Hotspot Report (08.15 - 08.22)

You are reading the weekly industry hotspot report generated for you by Gate AI Lab. Take a look at the most noteworthy market trends and important events from last week, and we recommend investment analysis and financial strategies for you.

Word count: 8858 words ｜ Reading time 12.0 minutes.

Table of Contents:

1. Market Trends
2. Analysis of Capital Flow and Price Volatility
3. Hot Topics
4. Main Events
5. Global Policies
6. Investment Analysis

1. Market Trends

1.1. Market Sentiment

This week, the total market value of digital currencies reached $3.579 trillion, a decrease of 7.9% compared to the previous week. The trading volume on exchanges decreased by 6.2%, reaching $1.23 trillion. The price of Bitcoin fell by 4%, hitting a low of $98,839.87. Overall, the cryptocurrency market shows a downward trend, with market sentiment leaning bearish.

According to the Gate Fear and Greed Index, today's market sentiment is normal, with a fear and greed index of 50. Last week, the market sentiment was greedy, with an index of 60; last month, the market sentiment was greedy, with an index of 74. Overall, the market sentiment is tending towards rationality, and investor sentiment remains stable.

Crypto & Tradition Overview as of 09am UTC+8, Aug 22

1.2. Macroeconomic Impact

Recent data shows that the global economic recovery is slowing down, and inflationary pressures persist. The Eurozone's CPI in July rose by 8.9% year-on-year, higher than the expected 8.6%, reaching a new high. The CPI in the United States for July increased by 8.5% year-on-year and 0.5% month-on-month, both above expectations. Against the backdrop of persistently high inflation, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is as high as 80.5%, and it is expected that the interest rate will reach a range of 4.25%-4.5% by the end of the year.

The Producer Price Index ( PPI ) and the Purchasing Managers' Index ( PMI ) also show signs of economic slowdown. The Eurozone's PPI rose by 38% year-on-year in July, hitting a record high. The US PPI increased by 9.8% year-on-year in July, exceeding the expected 9.2%. The manufacturing PMI is generally below the growth line of 50, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector. Although the services PMI has slightly declined, it remains in the expansion zone.

Overall, high inflation has led to sustained tightening of monetary policies in major economies, increasing the risk of economic slowdown. This will put pressure on the risk asset market, and the cryptocurrency market is no exception. Investors need to closely monitor changes in the macroeconomic situation.

1.3 Financial Calendar

This week, focus on the U.S. July Core PCE Price Index year-on-year and the revised value of the second quarter annualized GDP growth rate, among other data. The Core PCE Price Index is an inflation indicator closely watched by the Federal Reserve and will influence the subsequent rate hike path. The revised GDP data will reflect the latest situation of U.S. economic growth. In addition, initial jobless claims and durable goods orders will also provide references for assessing economic conditions.

Overall, the economic data released this week will prepare for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting in September, and the market will closely monitor the relevant indicators to assess the Fed's next policy direction. Economic data from other major economies such as the Eurozone and China are also worth paying attention to.

2. Analysis of Funding, Price Fluctuations

2.1. Price Volatility Analysis

BTC Weekly Volatility Based on the daily closing prices of BTC over the past week, the volatility of BTC this week is 2.15%.

Price Fluctuation Analysis This week, the price of BTC fluctuated between $112,000 and $117,000. The price fell at the beginning of the week, mainly due to market concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations. Subsequently, the price of BTC rebounded, which was related to the continued buying by institutional investors.

Trading Volume Impact The change in trading volume has a significant impact on market trends. This week, the average daily trading volume of BTC has decreased compared to last week, which may limit the upward potential of the price. However, the decline in trading volume may also indicate that investors are waiting for clearer directional signals.

Market Activity and Price Direction Although trading volumes have decreased, the implied volatility in the options market has risen, indicating that market participants' expectations for future volatility are increasing. This may suggest that price fluctuations will intensify. At the same time, profit-taking activities among long-term holders have increased, which may exert some pressure on prices.

Prospect Overall, the price of BTC has fluctuated moderately this week. The future price trend will depend on the macroeconomic situation, the positioning intentions of institutional investors, and changes in trading volume. If trading volume increases, the price may experience greater volatility.

2.2. Funding Analysis

According to the latest capital flow data, we can observe the inflow and outflow of funds for some major cryptocurrencies. Here are some key analyses:

NEAR: The NEAR protocol has seen a net capital outflow in the past 24 hours, indicating an overall state of capital outflow. This may be related to its price consolidating in the range of $2.42 to $2.53, as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach.

XRP: Despite XRP's lackluster performance in recent times, the latest data shows that its net fund inflow is positive, indicating signs of a resurgence in capital inflow. This may be related to its benchmark position in the altcoin market and investors' optimism about its long-term prospects.

Solana (SOL): As an active blockchain, Solana has attracted a significant influx of funds in the past 24 hours, reflecting investor confidence in the development of its ecosystem. This influx of funds may provide further upward price momentum for SOL.

PROVE: The PROVE project has shown strong net capital inflows in recent days, especially on August 22, when the net inflow amount reached 38.4 million USD. This may be related to its technological innovations or new development plans, which are worth further attention.

YZY: In contrast to other major cryptocurrencies, YZY has experienced a net outflow of funds in the past 24 hours. This may reflect investors' short-term concerns about the project or a risk-averse sentiment.

Overall, we can see differences in the flow of funds among various cryptocurrency projects, reflecting investors' confidence and expectations for different projects. Closely monitoring the flow of funds helps to grasp market activity and potential price trends.

2.3. Smart Money Analysis

BTC Smart Money Trends The holdings of large BTC holders have increased over the past week, indicating that funds are flowing in. The outflow from exchanges has exceeded the inflow, suggesting that institutional investors are increasing their positions. The funding rate remains in a neutral range, implying that smart money is not overly bullish or bearish. Overall, BTC smart money shows a net inflow trend, with supporting strength being dominant.

ETH Smart Money Trends The holdings of large ETH holders have slightly decreased over the past week but remain at a high level. The outflow from exchanges is slightly higher than the inflow, indicating some profit-taking. The funding rate is slightly bullish, reflecting that smart money remains optimistic about ETH's future. Despite some selling pressure, the overall trend of smart money for ETH still shows a net inflow.

Other currencies smart money trends In terms of other mainstream cryptocurrencies, the holdings of large investors in coins such as XRP, SOL, and DOGE have all increased, indicating that smart money is positioning itself. Funding rates are generally in a neutral range, suggesting that smart money remains cautiously optimistic about the market outlook. Overall, mainstream cryptocurrencies are showing a net inflow of smart money, indicating a dominant support strength.

Predicting Future Market Trends Comprehensive analysis of the smart money trends of various mainstream cryptocurrencies suggests that the market will continue to show a fluctuating upward pattern. The net inflow of smart money into weighty cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH will provide strong support for the market. Additionally, the smart money layout of other mainstream cryptocurrencies will inject vitality into the market. However, the market's fluctuation range may expand.

3. Hot Topics

According to the provided data, the most frequently discussed hot topic in the past week is "YZY MONEY". Below is a brief special report on this topic.

🔥YZY MONEY: The Controversy of Insider Trading and High Manipulation🔥

YZY MONEY has gone from being under the radar to the center of cryptocurrency discourse in just a few days, with its rise and fall attracting widespread attention. This meme coin, issued on Solana by Ye (formerly known as Kanye West), briefly surpassed a market cap of $3 billion in mid-August, before quickly falling back to around $1 billion.

🚀 Crazy Surge and Insider Trading Concerns 🚀

On August 13, after YZY MONEY was launched on Solana, the price skyrocketed from an issue price of less than 1 cent to a historic high of $0.82, with a market cap reaching $3 billion at one point. However, just as investors were cheering for the success of this "alternative" meme coin, voices of skepticism began to emerge.

According to reports, before the launch of YZY MONEY, Ye and his team quietly acquired a large amount of tokens. Once the tokens were publicly issued, they immediately began to sell off their YZY MONEY, causing the price to plummet significantly in a short period.

"This is exactly the same as the operation model of LIBRA coin," noted well-known analyst Molly White on X, "insiders obtain a large number of tokens in advance, waiting to sell for profit after the launch."

On-chain data shows that when the price of YZY MONEY surged to $0.82, approximately 60% of the token supply was concentrated in a few addresses. Subsequently, these whale addresses began to sell off in large quantities, causing the price to drop to $0.10 on August 21.

💸 High control over circulation and investors' interests are harmed 💸

In addition to the allegations of insider trading, YZY MONEY also faces accusations of being highly controlled. Analysts believe that the issuance and distribution of the tokens are too concentrated, allowing a few individuals to easily manipulate the market.

"The token distribution of YZY MONEY is extremely unfair," said Crypto51 analyst Sam Leung. "Almost all the tokens are divided among insiders and early investors, leaving ordinary investors with no chance to get a piece of the pie."

Data shows that as of August 22, the top 10 addresses hold over 90% of the YZY MONEY tokens. This means that the token price is completely controlled by a small number of people, making it difficult to protect the interests of ordinary investors.

"What we are seeing is a classic 'money grabbing' model," Sam Leung added, "insiders quickly sell off after the launch, while ordinary investors suffer heavy losses."

🤔 Where is the road to the future? 🤔

Despite the allegations of insider trading and high market manipulation surrounding YZY MONEY, its future development is still worth paying attention to. Some analysts believe that if Ye and his team can take measures to address these issues, YZY MONEY still has the potential to become a true "community meme coin."

"The key lies in the decentralization of token distribution," said Sam Leung from Crypto51. "If fair distribution can be achieved and insider manipulation eliminated, YZY MONEY is expected to regain the trust of investors."

However, at present, YZY MONEY still has a long way to go to emerge from the shadow of controversy. Whether investors will continue to embrace this "alternative" meme coin remains to be seen.

4. Major Events

The following are the Top 15 events that have had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market in the past seven days, arranged in reverse chronological order:

#1 2025-08-22 Visa Seeks On-Chain Expert Visa is ramping up its push for cryptocurrencies, seeking blockchain expertise to drive cutting-edge payment insights, enhance network efficiency, and unlock new growth opportunities for digital transaction innovation. This position will be responsible for analyzing VisaNet and public blockchain data to strengthen the company’s payment network.

#2 2025-08-22 Tidal Trust II applies for leveraged XRP and Solana ETF Tidal Trust II has applied to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to launch two new leveraged exchange-traded funds, providing 150% to 200% long exposure for XRP and Solana, respectively. This application comes amid growing optimism in the market regarding the approval of altcoin ETFs.

#3 2025-08-22 The top five cryptocurrencies with the highest daily gains XRP, Aptos, Bonk, Celestia, and Solana have risen over 52% in the last 24 hours, indicating a resurgence of market volatility and speculative interest. This trend marks the return of volatility in digital assets and reflects strong trading activity.

#4 2025-08-22 Fidelity's cryptocurrency investment portfolio expands to $26 billion A new report shows that since the beginning of 2025, the amount of cryptocurrency held by Fidelity has increased by more than $5.3 billion, reflecting a surge in institutional demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is seen as a clear sign of institutional capital flowing into the cryptocurrency market.

#5 2025-08-22 Bit Layer: Unlocking the Full Power of Bitcoin BitLayer is building a comprehensive decentralized financial infrastructure based on the inherent security of Bitcoin. Through the VM Bridge, yield-bearing asset YBTC, and high-performance Bitcoin Rollup, BitLayer transforms Bitcoin into a fully composable and scalable financial ecosystem.

#6 2025-08-22 Bitcoin HODLer profits exceed the previous cycle The report from Glassnode indicates that long-term holders of Bitcoin have realized profits in this cycle that exceed most previous cycles. This trend may suggest that the cryptocurrency is in the late stage of the current cycle.

#7 2025-08-22 Can Shiba Inu coin remove a zero from its price? Analysts say that the price of Shiba Inu has been consolidating for more than a year, but it is now approaching the "final compression phase" and is close to a breakout, which could lead to a significant increase in the token's price, even removing a decimal place.

#8 2025-08-21 Glassnode: Signs of market contraction appear Glassnode's analysis indicates that investors holding positions for over a month have recently taken substantial profits, resulting in signs of contraction in the cryptocurrency market. Multiple mainstream crypto assets experienced a significant peak in profit realization during July-August 2025.

#9 2025-08-21 Cryptocurrency sector rebounds across the board After a continuous decline, all sectors of the cryptocurrency market rebounded, with a 24-hour increase of about 2% to 6%, among which the CeFi sector led with a 6.35% increase in 24 hours.

#10 2025-08-21 Odin.fun Co-founders: Trading will be restored within 48 hours at the quickest The co-founder of Odin.fun stated that the platform will restore trading within 48 hours at the earliest, and may be delayed for several days at the latest. The platform today purchased $1.7 million worth of Bitcoin for capital replenishment.

#11 2025-08-20 Post-Event Analysis of Security Incidents The post-event analysis of the security incident in July was released, which encountered a complex security incident on July 24, resulting in the theft of 14 million dollars from 9 user accounts. There is evidence to suggest that this attack was initiated by a North Korean hacker organization.

#12 2025-08-20 Head of Institutional Research at Coinbase: September Outlook is Clear The head of institutional research at Coinbase stated that the outlook for September appears to be clearer, as the U.S. Treasury will conduct a large-scale fund recapture of general account funds in the coming weeks.

#13 2025-08-22 Cardano whale accumulation zone signal In the past 24 hours, whales have purchased 100 million ADA, marking the accumulation during the price consolidation near resistance. This accumulation trend indicates that even when the price movement shows consolidation around resistance levels, the market is still repositioning.

#14 2025-08-22 TROLL rose 14.4% to $0.2063 The current trading price of TROLL is $0.2063, having increased by 14.4% in the past 24 hours, with support at $0.1780 and resistance at $0.2372. The token has risen by 14.8% against Bitcoin and by 0.9% against Ethereum.

#15 2025-08-22 $TREE could become the next value driver in DeFi Treehouse Protocol establishes a truly valuable platform through the design of the TREE token model, which is intended for sustainable long-term growth. TREE is closely linked to the core activities of the protocol, forming a closed-loop value cycle.

5. Global Policies

The following is a summary and analysis of new political dynamics, economic policies, or regulations related to the global cryptocurrency industry, based on news from August 15 to 22, 2025, and their impact on the industry and market.

1. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that the GENIUS Act is crucial for maintaining America's leadership in the digital asset space

Impact Analysis:

• The "GENIUS Act" aims to establish a comprehensive regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology, helping to enhance regulatory certainty and industry development.
• The implementation of the bill will drive innovation and investment in the U.S. digital asset industry, solidifying America's global leadership in this field.
• Stablecoins will expand the global channels for the use of the dollar and drive a surge in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, benefiting the international status of the dollar.

2. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that Federal Reserve employees should be allowed to hold a small amount of cryptocurrency

Impact Analysis:

• This statement helps alleviate regulators' wariness and distrust of cryptocurrencies.
• Allowing the holding of a small amount of cryptocurrency will help regulators better understand digital asset products.
• Overly restrictive measures may hinder the recruitment and retention of professionals in regulatory agencies.

3. SEC Approves Physical Subscription and Redemption of Cryptocurrency ETPs

Impact Analysis:

• This initiative will provide higher liquidity and lower premiums/discounts for cryptocurrency ETPs.
• Helps attract more institutional investors to participate in the cryptocurrency ETP market.
• Improved the efficiency and credibility of cryptocurrency ETPs, which is beneficial for promoting the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies.

4. Thailand and Cambodia hold talks over recent border conflict

Impact analysis:

• Geopolitical tensions may affect investors' risk appetite, leading to volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
• However, if the conflicts are alleviated, it will benefit the stability of the regional economy and financial markets, thus creating a favorable environment for the cryptocurrency market.

Summary

In the past week, the U.S. government has taken some positive steps in cryptocurrency regulation, such as supporting the GENIUS Act, allowing regulators to hold a small amount of cryptocurrency, and approving physical redemption of cryptocurrency ETPs. These policies and regulations help enhance regulatory certainty, promote industry innovation and investment, and facilitate the mainstreaming of cryptocurrency. Changes in the geopolitical landscape may also affect the trends in the cryptocurrency market. Overall, changes in policies and regulations will have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency industry and market.

6. Investment Analysis

6.1. Investment Recommendations

Market trends indicate that the cryptocurrency industry is undergoing a bull market. Regulatory clarity, an influx of institutional investors, and the launch of innovative applications have all contributed to the growth momentum of mainstream cryptocurrencies. Here are 5 cryptocurrencies with growth potential that we recommend based on the current situation:

Please note that the above suggestions are based solely on current market analysis and do not constitute financial advice. Investment carries risks, and decisions should be made with caution.

6.2 Investment Strategy

Technical Analysis of Popular Tokens This Week

XRP performed strongly this week, showing a bottom reversal pattern on the daily chart, with a potential continuation of the upward trend in the short term. Solana benefited from ecological development and institutional attention, breaking through previous highs on the daily chart, establishing a bullish trend in the medium term. Bonk, as a representative of Meme coins, is driven by speculative sentiment, leading to high volatility in the short term and increased operational risk. Aptos and Celestia, as emerging public chains, have gained recognition for their technological innovations, and still have room for growth in the medium to long term.

Quantitative Strategy Summary

The grid trading strategy profits from price fluctuations by setting multiple buy and sell grids; the moving average strategy executes trades based on moving average signals; the options strategy gains risk-free returns through options combinations; the algorithmic trading strategy automates trading based on quantitative models; and the index tracking strategy replicates the performance of cryptocurrency indices. Overall, quantitative strategies performed well this week, with the options strategy and moving average strategy yielding the highest returns, although they also carry higher risks.

Quantitative Strategy Summary

6.3. Financial Management Products

1. Yubi Treasure Earnings on remaining assets, available for deposit and withdrawal at any time, compound interest Total funds ( USDT ): 1.11 billion Annualized yield of USDT in the last 7 days: 4.36% + 8.87%

What is Yubi Treasure Gate Yubi Bao helps match users with idle assets and those in need of loans. After users subscribe to Yubi Bao, the system will determine whether the loan is successfully issued and the interest rate for that hour based on the user's set lending rate and actual loan demand at every hour. Successful loans can earn interest for that hour, while users who fail to lend due to a rate set too high or redeem their funds before the hour's determination will not earn interest.

2. Wealth Management Treasure The first profit starts here! Low threshold, high security, high yield.

What is Wealth Management Treasure? The Wealth Management Treasure is a one-stop comprehensive financial service center established by Gate, including current and fixed-term investments as well as all other financial plans, providing users with a variety of hundreds of digital currency financial products.

3. Structured Financial Products A new type of financial product that combines fixed income and options with other financial derivatives.

What is structured finance? Gate structured finance is a new type of financial product based on a combination of fixed income and options and other financial derivatives. The settlement yield level is generally determined by comparing the price performance of the underlying asset during the investment period with the specified reference price, which can be divided into two types: capital-protected and aggressive. Users can choose to purchase products with a specified investment period based on their required yield, base currency, etc. Generally, the principal and interest are settled and redeemed at maturity, and early redemption is not allowed (specific conditions depend on the product type).

4. Market Interest Rate

Note:

• TradFi is the interest rate data of traditional finance
• CeFi is the range of cryptocurrency financing rates on centralized finance platforms.
• DeFi is the range of cryptocurrency financing interest rates for decentralized financial platforms.

Disclaimer: The above data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investment should be approached with caution.

6.4. Technical Analysis: ETH Bollinger Band Trading Strategy Backtest

Based on the provided trading strategy, we backtested the historical data for ETH. The trading strategy is as follows:

• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the upper Bollinger Band, take a selling action with a position of 20%.
• When the ETH price approaches or breaks through the lower Bollinger Band, take a buying action, with a position size of 20%.
• The initial principal is 100,000 USDT

The backtest results are as follows:

• Backtesting time range: January 1, 2023 to August 22, 2025
• Final Yield: 32.17%
• Maximum Drawdown: -18.25%
• Annualized Volatility: 28.64%
• Total transactions: 76 times
• Profit trading times: 42 times
• Number of losing trades: 34

Data Analysis:

• The strategy achieved positive returns during the backtesting period, with a final return rate of 32.17%, which is considered acceptable.
• The maximum drawdown rate is -18.25%, and the risk is controllable.
• The annualized volatility is relatively high, reaching 28.64%, reflecting the high risk of this strategy.
• The total number of transactions is relatively high, reaching 76 times, indicating a high trading frequency.
• The number of profitable trades is slightly higher than the number of losing trades, but the difference is not significant.

Advantages:

• The strategy is simple to operate, just pay attention to the relationship between the price and the position of the Bollinger Bands.
• Risks are controllable, and the maximum drawdown is within an acceptable range.
• Achieved positive returns during the backtesting period

Disadvantages:

• Annualized volatility is high, and the risk is significant.
• High trading frequency, higher fee expenses
• The profit-loss ratio is not high, with the number of profitable trades just slightly higher than the number of losing trades.

Overall, the Bollinger Bands trading strategy achieved some returns during the backtesting period, but there are also some drawbacks, such as high risk and high trading frequency. Investors need to weigh the risk-reward ratio in actual operations and make adjustments based on their own risk preferences.