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This message releases three layers of signals:
1. Market Stabilization: Trump has repeatedly criticized the Federal Reserve's policies during his term; Powell's expectation to remain in office stabilizes market concerns about the continuity of monetary policy (the pace of interest rate hikes and cuts is more predictable), which is favorable for US stocks, US bonds, and expectations of dollar liquidity in the short term.
2. Political Considerations: Directly firing Powell would cross the "independence of the central bank" red line and provoke public backlash; the White House's early stance is about finding a balance between "pressuring the Federal Reserve" and "maintaining political decorum."
3. The game continues: Even without firing anyone, Trump can still pressure the Federal Reserve through public opinion (such as criticizing high interest rates), and the tug-of-war between future monetary policy and political demands will continue.
In short, this is a signal of "surface stability while secretly competing"; it calms the market in the short term, but the long-term competition has just begun.
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