The Bitcoin (BTC) 'power law model' predicts that the price of Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by 2025.

Source: Cointelegraph Original text: "The 'Power Law Model' predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach a price of $200,000 by 2025."

Key Points:

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rose 11% this week, marking the best weekly gain since 2025 and the highest 7-day increase since early November 2024. On April 25, the price of Bitcoin also reached $95,000, the first time since February 24.

Bitcoin 1 Week Chart Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The 21st co-founder of Capital, Sina, mentioned that Bitcoin has regained its power law pricing. The accuracy of the power law prediction stems from the growth of the Bitcoin network following Metcalfe's Law, where value is proportional to the square of the number of users.

According to Sina's Bitcoin percentile model, restoring the power-law price suggests that Bitcoin is expected to reach price targets of $130,000 and $163,000 by the end of 2025.

Sina Bitcoin Quantile Model Source: X.com

As shown in the figure, Bitcoin is currently in the "transition" zone, where BTC accumulation occurs. Once it enters the "acceleration" zone, the crypto assets will enter a growth range of 33% to 66%, gradually reaching $106,000, $130,000, and $163,000 in the coming months.

However, the anonymous Bitcoin analyst apsk32 predicts that by 2025, the price target for Bitcoin could reach as high as $200,000. This prediction is based on the "Bitcoin Power Curve Time Profile," which overlays Bitcoin's price trends over four-year cycles (2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025). The chart shows strong performance in the third and fourth quarters of 2025, and the analyst notes that Bitcoin's historical four-year cycles remain unchanged. The analyst stated:

"Look at the two-year periods today, 4 years ago, 8 years ago, and 12 years ago. Use the power curve trend line for price scaling. The Bitcoin price is expected to exceed $200,000 in the fourth quarter. Gold indicates that we can go higher."

Bitcoin Power Curve Time Profile Source: X.com

Gold-Bitcoin lag may repeat the surge in the fourth quarter

Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin and gold have reached new highs in the market, with each asset outperforming the other during specific periods.

As shown in the figure, Bitcoin and gold reached new highs between March and August 2024. However, in the third quarter of 2024, gold rebounded first, surpassing Bitcoin's performance. By the fourth quarter, Bitcoin regained momentum, outpacing the precious metal and maintaining its lead until March 2025 when gold took the lead again.

Bitcoin gold price performance chart Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Gold continues to lead Bitcoin, but has fallen 6% since hitting a new high, while Bitcoin has risen 11%. Cointelegraph reports that BTC tends to follow the directional deviation of gold 100-150 days later. Based on this, Bitcoin may lead gold in the coming weeks.

Similarly, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell to a three-year low on April 21, further increasing the likelihood of a rebound in risk assets. Cointelegraph reported that the DXY lows over the years are historically bullish for Bitcoin. Cryptocurrency analyst "Venture Founder" also pointed out that,

"Traditionally, a decline in DXY is very favorable for BTC, and we now have a significant bearish divergence on DXY, which could indicate it falling to 90 dollars. The last two times this happened triggered a parabolic bull market for Bitcoin in the final phase of the bull market (lasting 12 months)."

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and transaction involves risks, and readers should do their own research before making decisions.

Related articles: Bitcoin (BTC) soars to a seven-week high, but analysts are skeptical about its rebound to $100,000.